Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Okposo wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Okposo 48.3% vs Paul 53.9% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 91.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 83.9%
Neutral zone
Paul 79.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 87.8%
12.2%
87.8%
Okposo
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Okposo
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
2
0
Okposo
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
2
0
Okposo
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Okposo
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (218)
53.1% (710)
-2.6%
Power Play
51.6% (31)
57.3% (199)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
19.2% (26)
58.0% (69)
-38.8%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Okposo is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Okposo shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Okposo
Paul
Home
48.8% (127)
56.0% (466)
Away
46.6% (148)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Okposo
Paul
P1
41.1%
57.2%
P2
44.2%
54.9%
P3
60.5%
51.5%
Final 5 min
47.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
47.6%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |