Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Okposo wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Okposo 47.6% vs Backstrom 50.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 67.6%
Defensive zone
Okposo 51.5%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 71.3%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Okposo
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Okposo
Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
1
0
Okposo
Backstrom
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
1
0
Okposo
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Okposo
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (276)
51.4% (473)
-2.8%
Power Play
46.4% (28)
39.5% (38)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
33.3% (3)
+3.7%
On power play, Okposo has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Okposo is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Okposo shoots right. Backstrom is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Okposo
Backstrom
Home
47.4% (156)
53.6% (278)
Away
46.4% (194)
46.6% (236)
By Period
Okposo
Backstrom
P1
45.8%
51.5%
P2
50.3%
56.0%
P3
41.4%
43.5%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
46.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 01:25 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |