Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Okposo wins 37.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Okposo 46.0% vs Gaustad 59.0% (-18.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Okposo 74.3%
Defensive zone
Okposo 53.8%
Neutral zone
Okposo 71.3%
Result
Kyle Okposo favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Okposo
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Okposo
Gaustad
Last 5: Okposo 1-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
3
Okposo
Gaustad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Okposo
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Okposo
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (73)
58.6% (790)
-14.8%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
66.7% (93)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
61.0% (269)
-38.8%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Okposo is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Okposo shoots right. Gaustad is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Okposo
Gaustad
Home
42.2% (45)
60.6% (554)
Away
40.5% (42)
58.9% (604)
By Period
Okposo
Gaustad
P1
40.0%
61.3%
P2
41.7%
55.5%
P3
45.8%
62.3%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
41.4%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 16:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |