Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Okposo 48.7% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Okposo 93.0%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 79.8%
Neutral zone
Okposo 70.5%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Okposo
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Okposo
Gaustad
Last 8: Okposo 2-6 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
1
0
Okposo
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
5
Okposo
Gaustad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Okposo
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Okposo
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,513)
58.2% (4,334)
-9.1%
Power Play
50.1% (391)
65.4% (188)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
54.8% (1,290)
-15.1%
On power play, Gaustad has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Okposo is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,523).
Okposo shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Okposo
Gaustad
Home
50.2% (990)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
47.1% (1,065)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Okposo
Gaustad
P1
48.8%
58.2%
P2
49.6%
56.4%
P3
47.3%
58.3%
OT
48.7%
66.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 16:34 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |