Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Okposo on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Okposo 48.7% vs Steel 50.2% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Okposo 57.3%
Defensive zone
Steel 69.8%
Neutral zone
Steel 61.3%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Okposo
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Okposo
Steel
Last 8: Okposo 5-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Okposo
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
3
0
Okposo
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Okposo
2
1
Okposo
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Okposo
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,513)
50.6% (2,876)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.1% (391)
62.6% (179)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
37.4% (254)
+2.3%
On power play, Steel has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Okposo is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,523).
Okposo shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Home / Away
Okposo
Steel
Home
50.2% (990)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
47.1% (1,065)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Okposo
Steel
P1
48.8%
51.9%
P2
49.6%
49.5%
P3
47.3%
49.6%
OT
48.7%
41.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 03:21 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:23 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Sam Steel |