Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Okposo on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Okposo wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Okposo 47.6% vs Steel 48.8% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 66.5%
Defensive zone
Okposo 52.4%
Neutral zone
Steel 60.7%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Okposo
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Okposo
Steel
Last 8: Okposo 5-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Okposo
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
3
0
Okposo
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Okposo
2
1
Okposo
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Okposo
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (276)
49.5% (553)
-0.9%
Power Play
46.4% (28)
61.3% (31)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
30.6% (49)
+6.4%
On power play, Steel has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Okposo is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Okposo shoots right. Steel is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Okposo
Steel
Home
47.4% (156)
46.4% (347)
Away
46.4% (194)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Okposo
Steel
P1
45.8%
52.1%
P2
50.3%
49.8%
P3
41.4%
45.2%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
46.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 03:21 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:23 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Sam Steel |