Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tierney wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Turris 48.4% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Turris leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 66.9%
Defensive zone
Tierney 66.5%
Neutral zone
Tierney 52.8%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Tierney
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Tierney
Turris
Last 10: Tierney 5-5 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
1
2
Tierney
Turris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
2
Tierney
Turris
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Turris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (487)
49.7% (165)
-3.3%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
40.0% (15)
+37.8%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (94)
37.5% (24)
+0.8%
On power play, Tierney has a +37.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Tierney is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Tierney shoots left. Turris is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Tierney
Turris
Home
49.3% (286)
48.5% (99)
Away
42.1% (304)
46.7% (105)
By Period
Tierney
Turris
P1
48.5%
49.2%
P2
41.1%
51.9%
P3
48.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
36.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.6%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 12:43 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 09:42 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |