Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 50.1% vs Turris 48.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 54.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 59.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 61.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Evans
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Evans
Turris
Last 6: Evans 4-2 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Turris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Turris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Turris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (320)
49.7% (165)
+2.5%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
40.0% (15)
+60.0%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (83)
37.5% (24)
+3.5%
On power play, Evans has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Evans is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Evans shoots right. Turris is 62.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Home / Away
Evans
Turris
Home
54.3% (223)
48.5% (99)
Away
45.1% (182)
46.7% (105)
By Period
Evans
Turris
P1
53.9%
49.2%
P2
44.9%
51.9%
P3
52.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 05:18 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 05:12 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 12:15 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |