Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.1% vs Foligno 46.1% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 72.2%
Defensive zone
Foligno 67.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 73.7%
Result
Marcus Foligno favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Turris
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Turris
Foligno
Last 8: Turris 2-6 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
4
Turris
Foligno
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Turris
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Turris
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (1,154)
45.9% (98)
+3.5%
Power Play
57.6% (217)
60.0% (10)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (101)
25.0% (24)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Turris is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Turris shoots right. Foligno is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Turris
Foligno
Home
54.7% (760)
47.9% (71)
Away
45.1% (712)
37.7% (61)
By Period
Turris
Foligno
P1
54.1%
48.5%
P2
50.2%
45.5%
P3
45.2%
40.4%
OT
61.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 3 | 15:33 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |