Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.3% vs Foligno 47.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 78.6%
Defensive zone
Foligno 74.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 77.4%
Result
Marcus Foligno favored at 78.1%
21.9%
78.1%
Turris
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Turris
Foligno
Last 10: Turris 2-8 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
7
Turris
Foligno
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Turris
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Turris
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (7,653)
47.6% (553)
+2.6%
Power Play
52.4% (1,312)
56.3% (64)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (580)
34.2% (76)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Turris shoots right. Foligno is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Turris
Foligno
Home
53.5% (4,794)
46.0% (365)
Away
47.1% (4,756)
47.9% (328)
By Period
Turris
Foligno
P1
51.5%
48.7%
P2
50.8%
49.8%
P3
48.4%
42.7%
OT
56.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
50.5%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 3 | 15:33 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |