Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Turris wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 52.0% vs Duchene 52.8% (+1.9%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 76.8%
Defensive zone
Turris 73.7%
Neutral zone
Turris 51.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Turris
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (41)
46.9% (162)
+9.2%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
73.2% (56)
-17.6%
On power play, Duchene has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Turris is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (38).
Turris shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Turris
Duchene
Home
45.8% (24)
58.4% (125)
Away
65.4% (26)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Turris
Duchene
P1
64.7%
56.9%
P2
64.7%
52.5%
P3
37.5%
51.9%
Final 5 min
42.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
56.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%