Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 49.4%). Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.3% vs Stajan 49.4% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 20-17 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 69.0%
Defensive zone
Stajan 79.2%
Neutral zone
Stajan 60.3%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Turris
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
20
(37 meetings)
17
20
Turris
Stajan
Last 10: Turris 5-5 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
7
4
Turris
Stajan
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
3
8
Turris
Stajan
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
7
8
Turris
Stajan
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (7,653)
50.2% (4,944)
+0.0%
Power Play
52.4% (1,312)
43.2% (176)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (580)
46.1% (864)
+2.5%
On power play, Turris has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Turris shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Home / Away
Turris
Stajan
Home
53.5% (4,794)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
47.1% (4,756)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Turris
Stajan
P1
51.5%
50.3%
P2
50.8%
48.5%
P3
48.4%
49.4%
OT
56.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 19:06 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 18:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 17:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 08:37 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 01:43 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 28, 2015 | 3 | 03:47 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |