Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 49.4%). Look for Turris on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.3% vs Santorelli 49.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Santorelli leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Santorelli 50.1%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 51.9%
Neutral zone
Turris 50.4%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Turris
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Turris
Santorelli
Last 10: Turris 6-4 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
4
6
Turris
Santorelli
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
2
3
Turris
Santorelli
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
4
1
Turris
Santorelli
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (7,653)
48.4% (1,835)
+1.8%
Power Play
52.4% (1,312)
56.0% (298)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (580)
48.5% (132)
+0.1%
On power play, Santorelli has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Turris is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Turris shoots right. Santorelli is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (722).
Home / Away
Turris
Santorelli
Home
53.5% (4,794)
50.4% (1,079)
Away
47.1% (4,756)
48.5% (1,199)
By Period
Turris
Santorelli
P1
51.5%
51.0%
P2
50.8%
49.7%
P3
48.4%
47.6%
OT
56.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 13:05 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 15:19 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 12:11 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 09:43 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 07:38 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 1 | 03:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |