Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.1% vs Gaustad 55.9% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 83.0%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 92.2%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 75.3%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Turris
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Turris
Gaustad
Last 8: Turris 5-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
4
0
Turris
Gaustad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
3
Turris
Gaustad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (1,154)
57.7% (821)
-8.3%
Power Play
57.6% (217)
56.3% (16)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (101)
52.3% (260)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Turris is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Turris shoots right. Gaustad is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Turris
Gaustad
Home
54.7% (760)
58.9% (577)
Away
45.1% (712)
53.7% (520)
By Period
Turris
Gaustad
P1
54.1%
53.1%
P2
50.2%
57.9%
P3
45.2%
57.8%
OT
61.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 13:06 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 17:20 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |