Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.3% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Turris leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 82.0%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 96.8%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 71.5%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Turris
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Turris
Gaustad
Last 10: Turris 6-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
9
3
Turris
Gaustad
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
5
Turris
Gaustad
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Turris
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (7,653)
58.2% (4,334)
-8.0%
Power Play
52.4% (1,312)
65.4% (188)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (580)
54.8% (1,290)
-6.2%
On power play, Gaustad has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Turris shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Turris
Gaustad
Home
53.5% (4,794)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
47.1% (4,756)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Turris
Gaustad
P1
51.5%
58.2%
P2
50.8%
56.4%
P3
48.4%
58.3%
OT
56.0%
66.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 13:06 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 04:50 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 17:20 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 3 | 09:30 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |