Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Varone on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.3% vs Varone 47.7% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Varone leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Varone 65.6%
Defensive zone
Varone 77.2%
Neutral zone
Varone 72.8%
Result
Phil Varone favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Turris
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Turris
Varone
Last 10: Turris 3-7 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Varone
1
2
Turris
Varone
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Varone
0
3
Turris
Varone
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Turris
Varone
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (7,653)
47.5% (575)
+2.7%
Power Play
52.4% (1,312)
38.5% (13)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (580)
50.0% (2)
-1.4%
On power play, Turris has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Turris shoots right. Varone is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Turris
Varone
Home
53.5% (4,794)
48.0% (221)
Away
47.1% (4,756)
46.9% (369)
By Period
Turris
Varone
P1
51.5%
50.0%
P2
50.8%
42.7%
P3
48.4%
50.0%
OT
56.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 1 | 03:13 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phil Varone |