Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 51.3% vs Gagner 48.1% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 65.7%
Defensive zone
Gagner 61.1%
Neutral zone
Gagner 63.2%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Turris
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Turris
Gagner
Last 8: Turris 3-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Turris
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
3
Turris
Gagner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (799)
47.3% (395)
+3.8%
Power Play
58.1% (62)
50.0% (62)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
50.0% (4)
-4.5%
On power play, Turris has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Turris is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Turris shoots right. Gagner is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Turris
Gagner
Home
53.5% (507)
49.4% (267)
Away
48.8% (365)
45.4% (194)
By Period
Turris
Gagner
P1
52.8%
47.5%
P2
54.1%
48.5%
P3
47.3%
48.1%
OT
53.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 04:25 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 05:55 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |