Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 52.0% vs Gagner 47.5% (+9.3%)
Offensive zone
Turris 66.3%
Defensive zone
Gagner 75.5%
Neutral zone
Gagner 59.3%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Turris
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (41)
51.3% (158)
+4.8%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
66.7% (36)
-11.1%
On power play, Gagner has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Turris is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Turris shoots right. Gagner is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
Turris
Gagner
Home
45.8% (24)
53.2% (154)
Away
65.4% (26)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Turris
Gagner
P1
64.7%
35.6%
P2
64.7%
52.7%
P3
37.5%
51.9%
Final 5 min
42.9%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
56.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%