Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 47.9% vs Steel 50.2% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 60.2%
Defensive zone
Steel 56.1%
Neutral zone
Steel 54.3%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Turris
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Turris
Steel
Last 9: Turris 6-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
3
2
Turris
Steel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
3
1
Turris
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (449)
49.7% (638)
-0.9%
Power Play
41.2% (51)
60.3% (63)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
42.4% (33)
-9.1%
On power play, Steel has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Turris is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Turris shoots right. Steel is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
Turris
Steel
Home
51.2% (252)
47.3% (349)
Away
44.0% (266)
53.0% (385)
By Period
Turris
Steel
P1
47.5%
51.2%
P2
43.3%
49.8%
P3
50.6%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
47.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 12:17 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 02:20 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 02:13 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |