Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.2%). Look for Turris on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.3% vs Steel 50.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 61.4%
Defensive zone
Turris 53.8%
Neutral zone
Turris 56.8%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Turris
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Turris
Steel
Last 9: Turris 6-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
3
2
Turris
Steel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
3
1
Turris
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (7,653)
50.6% (2,876)
-0.4%
Power Play
52.4% (1,312)
62.6% (179)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (580)
37.4% (254)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Turris shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Home / Away
Turris
Steel
Home
53.5% (4,794)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
47.1% (4,756)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Turris
Steel
P1
51.5%
51.9%
P2
50.8%
49.5%
P3
48.4%
49.6%
OT
56.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 12:17 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 02:20 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 02:13 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |