Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.8% vs 53.7%). Look for Wellwood on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Wellwood wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wellwood 52.3% vs Hanzal 53.7% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wellwood 65.3%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 69.3%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 51.9%
Result
Kyle Wellwood favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Wellwood
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Wellwood
Hanzal
Last 8: Wellwood 4-4 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wellwood
4
1
Wellwood
Hanzal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
2
Wellwood
Hanzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
1
Wellwood
Hanzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wellwood
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (369)
54.0% (5,547)
-3.3%
Power Play
61.4% (88)
56.7% (1,179)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
46.0% (644)
+4.0%
On power play, Wellwood has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Wellwood is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Wellwood shoots right. Hanzal is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Wellwood
Hanzal
Home
54.7% (243)
55.1% (3,687)
Away
50.7% (217)
52.3% (3,704)
By Period
Wellwood
Hanzal
P1
46.2%
54.9%
P2
59.6%
53.6%
P3
51.7%
52.4%
OT
60.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
47.1%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wellwood
54.0%▼
58.0%
52.8%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |