Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (35.1% vs 35.3%). Bouma wins 29.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dwyer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bouma 39.5% vs Dwyer 38.5% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Dwyer 52.7%
Defensive zone
Dwyer 54.6%
Neutral zone
Dwyer 50.8%
Result
Patrick Dwyer favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Bouma
Dwyer
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bouma
Dwyer
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (205)
36.1% (313)
+1.9%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
33.3% (15)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (33)
28.6% (28)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Dwyer has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dwyer shoots right. Bouma is 29.5% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Bouma shoots left. Dwyer is 35.7% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Bouma
Dwyer
Home
37.4% (139)
36.8% (163)
Away
32.0% (103)
34.0% (194)
By Period
Bouma
Dwyer
P1
39.8%
36.7%
P2
32.2%
30.8%
P3
32.7%
39.8%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
29.6%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bouma
42.0%▲
36.0%
35.1%
Dwyer
30.0%▼
38.0%
35.3%