Scouting Report
Lane Pederson holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pederson on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Pederson wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pederson 50.8% vs McTavish 43.3% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pederson 61.5%
Defensive zone
Pederson 58.8%
Neutral zone
Pederson 56.9%
Result
Lane Pederson favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Pederson
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pederson
McTavish
Last 5: Pederson 3-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pederson
3
2
Pederson
McTavish
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pederson
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (134)
42.4% (675)
+9.8%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
40.5% (42)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
50.0% (8)
-7.1%
On even strength, Pederson has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Pederson is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Pederson shoots right. McTavish is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Pederson
McTavish
Home
59.6% (52)
41.9% (372)
Away
46.9% (98)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Pederson
McTavish
P1
55.8%
47.2%
P2
44.9%
36.2%
P3
53.1%
43.6%
Final 5 min
56.8%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.3%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 19:26 | Neutral | Lane Pederson |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Lane Pederson |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 16:35 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 14:37 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 02:45 | Neutral | Lane Pederson |