Lane Pederson vs Nicklas Backstrom
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 50.4%). Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pederson wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pederson 50.8% vs Backstrom 50.3% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 54.1%
Defensive zone
Pederson 58.9%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 51.0%
Result
Lane Pederson favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Pederson
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Pederson
Backstrom
Last 6: Pederson 2-4 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pederson
1
0
Pederson
Backstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
4
Pederson
Backstrom
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pederson
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (134)
51.4% (473)
+0.8%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
39.5% (38)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
33.3% (3)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Pederson has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Pederson is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Pederson shoots right. Backstrom is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Pederson
Backstrom
Home
59.6% (52)
53.6% (278)
Away
46.9% (98)
46.6% (236)
By Period
Pederson
Backstrom
P1
55.8%
51.5%
P2
44.9%
56.0%
P3
53.1%
43.5%
Final 5 min
56.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.3%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 06:57 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:42 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Lane Pederson |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:35 | Defensive | Lane Pederson |