Scouting Report
Rasmus Kupari holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kupari on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pederson wins 39.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pederson 50.8% vs Kupari 53.7% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pederson 56.6%
Defensive zone
Pederson 67.1%
Neutral zone
Pederson 63.5%
Result
Lane Pederson favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Pederson
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Pederson
Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
0
3
Pederson
Kupari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kupari
0
1
Pederson
Kupari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pederson
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (134)
53.6% (379)
-1.4%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
66.7% (6)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
72.2% (18)
-29.3%
On penalty kill, Kupari has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Pederson is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Pederson shoots right. Kupari is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Pederson
Kupari
Home
59.6% (52)
55.5% (245)
Away
46.9% (98)
53.2% (158)
By Period
Pederson
Kupari
P1
55.8%
58.8%
P2
44.9%
47.8%
P3
53.1%
57.4%
Final 5 min
56.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.3%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 12:36 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 17:29 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |