Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pederson 49.6% vs Monahan 53.1% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 56.5%
Defensive zone
Monahan 51.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 53.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Pederson
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pederson
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Pederson
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pederson
1
0
Pederson
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pederson
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (27)
53.8% (664)
-5.7%
On even strength, Monahan has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Pederson is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Pederson shoots right. Monahan is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Pederson
Monahan
Home
44.4% (9)
54.8% (405)
Away
50.0% (18)
52.2% (458)
By Period
Pederson
Monahan
P1
60.0%
49.6%
P2
42.9%
53.9%
P3
40.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
20.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.1%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Lane Pederson |