Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pederson 49.0% vs Monahan 51.3% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pederson 55.0%
Defensive zone
Pederson 71.4%
Neutral zone
Pederson 69.2%
Result
Lane Pederson favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Pederson
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Pederson
Monahan
Last 7: Pederson 2-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Pederson
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Pederson
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pederson
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pederson
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (323)
51.1% (11,356)
-2.2%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
53.7% (2,580)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
46.0% (766)
-1.6%
On power play, Monahan has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Pederson is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (263).
Pederson shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Pederson
Monahan
Home
53.1% (145)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
45.6% (206)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Pederson
Monahan
P1
49.6%
50.9%
P2
45.8%
51.7%
P3
50.9%
51.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pederson
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Lane Pederson |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Lane Pederson |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |