Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Pietila wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pietila 47.3% vs Eller 49.0% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pietila 69.2%
Defensive zone
Pietila 59.2%
Neutral zone
Pietila 64.0%
Result
Blake Pietila favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Pietila
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Pietila
Eller
Last 10: Pietila 2-8 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pietila
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Pietila
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
5
Pietila
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pietila
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (68)
49.9% (821)
-7.3%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
52.7% (74)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
43.9% (214)
+6.1%
On even strength, Eller has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Pietila is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (57).
Pietila shoots left. Eller is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Pietila
Eller
Home
37.5% (16)
49.4% (559)
Away
45.5% (66)
48.5% (550)
By Period
Pietila
Eller
P1
25.0%
50.1%
P2
42.9%
46.7%
P3
58.6%
49.9%
OT
100.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
36.8%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pietila
38.0%▼
46.5%
43.9%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Blake Pietila |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 15:10 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | Blake Pietila |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:27 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Lars Eller |