Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.7% vs Eller 51.7% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 70.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 71.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 68.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Jenner
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Jenner
Eller
Last 10: Jenner 2-8 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Jenner
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Jenner
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Jenner
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (861)
52.8% (769)
+4.5%
Power Play
52.6% (135)
54.7% (75)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (170)
46.8% (188)
-0.3%
On even strength, Jenner has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Jenner is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (757).
Jenner shoots left. Eller is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Jenner
Eller
Home
54.8% (586)
51.3% (513)
Away
55.5% (580)
52.5% (520)
By Period
Jenner
Eller
P1
57.3%
50.3%
P2
52.5%
52.8%
P3
55.9%
51.4%
OT
54.5%
87.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.1%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 12:45 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 2 | 05:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Lars Eller |