Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Hodgson wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.8% vs Eller 51.5% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hodgson 84.3%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 75.3%
Neutral zone
Hodgson 74.1%
Result
Cody Hodgson favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Hodgson
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Hodgson
Eller
Last 10: Hodgson 1-9 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Hodgson
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Hodgson
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
6
Hodgson
Eller
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (317)
51.6% (705)
-7.4%
Power Play
55.0% (60)
57.9% (19)
-2.9%
On even strength, Eller has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Hodgson is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Hodgson shoots right. Eller is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Eller
Home
45.5% (202)
54.6% (383)
Away
46.3% (175)
48.9% (401)
By Period
Hodgson
Eller
P1
51.5%
53.8%
P2
41.4%
52.5%
P3
44.1%
48.6%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
42.4%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
45.9%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 14:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 15:38 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 14:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 04:16 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 19:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 5, 2014 | 3 | 07:59 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Nov 5, 2014 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |