Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 49.5% vs Eller 53.3% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gustafsson 56.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 55.6%
Neutral zone
Gustafsson 50.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Gustafsson
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gustafsson
Eller
Last 5: Gustafsson 2-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Gustafsson
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Gustafsson
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gustafsson
2
0
Gustafsson
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (182)
53.8% (865)
-2.7%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
57.1% (21)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
52.6% (137)
-19.3%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Gustafsson is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Gustafsson shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
Eller
Home
54.2% (96)
56.4% (486)
Away
45.1% (113)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Gustafsson
Eller
P1
58.5%
55.1%
P2
39.5%
55.3%
P3
51.5%
51.7%
Final 5 min
58.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
49.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 09:54 | Neutral | David Gustafsson |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | David Gustafsson |