Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Eller 49.0% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 53.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 87.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 79.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Malkin
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Malkin
Eller
Last 6: Malkin 6-0 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
0
Malkin
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
0
Malkin
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (807)
49.9% (821)
-3.7%
Power Play
30.4% (23)
52.7% (74)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
43.9% (214)
-10.6%
On power play, Eller has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Malkin is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (611).
Malkin shoots left. Eller is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Malkin
Eller
Home
45.1% (450)
49.4% (559)
Away
46.4% (384)
48.5% (550)
By Period
Malkin
Eller
P1
48.2%
50.1%
P2
43.5%
46.7%
P3
46.0%
49.9%
OT
33.3%
71.4%
Final 5 min
43.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2019 | 3 | 16:59 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 19, 2018 | 2 | 14:20 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 19, 2018 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |