Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Malkin wins 42.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 44.1% vs Eller 50.3% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 70.2%
Defensive zone
Malkin 50.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 56.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Malkin
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
15
(27 meetings)
12
15
Malkin
Eller
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Malkin
Eller
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
5
Malkin
Eller
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
4
5
Malkin
Eller
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (340)
49.4% (518)
-7.0%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
57.6% (33)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
52.8% (108)
-52.8%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Malkin is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Malkin shoots left. Eller is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Malkin
Eller
Home
43.6% (172)
49.0% (304)
Away
41.4% (186)
51.5% (355)
By Period
Malkin
Eller
P1
43.4%
55.5%
P2
44.2%
44.0%
P3
38.7%
53.2%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 11:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 03:27 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 1 | 10:29 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 19, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 18:03 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 17, 2021 | 2 | 12:57 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |