Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Eller 53.3% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 90.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 63.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 68.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Malkin
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Malkin
Eller
Last 8: Malkin 2-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Malkin
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
53.8% (865)
-4.8%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
57.1% (21)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
52.6% (137)
-2.6%
On even strength, Eller has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Malkin
Eller
Home
52.3% (438)
56.4% (486)
Away
46.2% (418)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Malkin
Eller
P1
51.3%
55.1%
P2
50.8%
55.3%
P3
45.0%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2023 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |