Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Spezza wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.3% vs Eller 47.0% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 17-6 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 96.8%
Defensive zone
Spezza 72.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 83.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 85.4%
85.4%
14.6%
Spezza
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
6
(23 meetings)
17
6
Spezza
Eller
Last 10: Spezza 7-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
0
Spezza
Eller
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
1
Spezza
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
7
5
Spezza
Eller
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,283)
45.7% (588)
+8.1%
Power Play
52.8% (303)
61.1% (18)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (89)
50.8% (63)
-1.4%
On power play, Eller has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,197).
Spezza shoots right. Eller is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Spezza
Eller
Home
56.4% (853)
48.3% (329)
Away
50.5% (847)
44.9% (356)
By Period
Spezza
Eller
P1
53.4%
50.0%
P2
54.2%
41.3%
P3
53.4%
47.4%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2012 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 3 | 06:27 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 3 | 11:54 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 10:33 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 1 | 06:30 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 3 | 12:45 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 16:47 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |