Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.0% vs 53.2%). Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Eller 52.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 72.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 55.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Spezza
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Spezza
Eller
Last 10: Spezza 8-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
1
Spezza
Eller
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (1,097)
53.3% (803)
+0.6%
Power Play
54.8% (250)
55.8% (86)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (89)
50.0% (90)
+2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,020).
Spezza shoots right. Eller is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Spezza
Eller
Home
55.8% (695)
52.8% (525)
Away
52.2% (741)
53.7% (454)
By Period
Spezza
Eller
P1
50.3%
53.9%
P2
54.7%
54.8%
P3
56.0%
50.9%
OT
73.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2014 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 1 | 12:25 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 01:25 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 09:25 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |