Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Smithson wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 55.7% vs Eller 52.9% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 59.8%
Defensive zone
Smithson 63.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 57.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Smithson
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Smithson
Eller
Last 5: Smithson 2-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smithson
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Smithson
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smithson
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (175)
53.3% (803)
+6.1%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
55.8% (86)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (38)
50.0% (90)
+2.6%
On power play, Smithson has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Smithson is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Smithson shoots right. Eller is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Smithson
Eller
Home
63.2% (106)
52.8% (525)
Away
53.6% (110)
53.7% (454)
By Period
Smithson
Eller
P1
69.6%
53.9%
P2
48.3%
54.8%
P3
57.4%
50.9%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
64.4%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
58.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 01:37 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 2 | 04:33 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 16:32 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |