Scouting Report
Jesse Winchester holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Winchester on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Winchester wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winchester 54.7% vs Eller 43.9% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Winchester leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Winchester 77.9%
Defensive zone
Winchester 90.2%
Neutral zone
Winchester 84.8%
Result
Jesse Winchester favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Winchester
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Winchester
Eller
Last 10: Winchester 8-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
1
0
Winchester
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
5
1
Winchester
Eller
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Winchester
2
1
Winchester
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winchester
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (469)
43.0% (402)
+13.1%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
16.7% (12)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (61)
66.7% (6)
-9.3%
On power play, Winchester has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Winchester is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Winchester shoots right. Eller is 32.4% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Winchester
Eller
Home
56.9% (299)
44.6% (184)
Away
54.1% (246)
40.9% (247)
By Period
Winchester
Eller
P1
49.7%
45.3%
P2
59.8%
41.5%
P3
56.4%
39.9%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
55.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2011 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 3 | 01:58 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 13:56 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 02:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |