Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.7% vs Eller 52.0% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 74.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 84.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.6%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Ek
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Ek
Eller
Last 9: Ek 7-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
4
0
Ek
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ek
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,023)
52.8% (742)
-5.1%
Power Play
60.2% (362)
67.6% (34)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (217)
46.2% (156)
-4.7%
On power play, Eller has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Ek is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,053).
Ek shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Ek
Eller
Home
48.3% (801)
54.5% (448)
Away
51.1% (801)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Ek
Eller
P1
50.2%
52.8%
P2
50.1%
50.9%
P3
49.3%
53.4%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 03:29 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |