Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.4% vs Eller 51.9% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 69.2%
Defensive zone
Ek 58.3%
Neutral zone
Ek 60.3%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Ek
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ek
Eller
Last 6: Ek 2-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Ek
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (609)
52.8% (650)
-5.2%
Power Play
53.3% (152)
69.2% (13)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (106)
45.5% (88)
-10.6%
On power play, Eller has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Ek is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (613).
Ek shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Ek
Eller
Home
49.2% (331)
52.6% (340)
Away
45.7% (536)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Ek
Eller
P1
38.7%
52.4%
P2
52.9%
54.1%
P3
48.8%
50.0%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:24 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:44 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 15:31 | Neutral | Lars Eller |