Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schroeder 47.1% vs Eller 52.9% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schroeder 61.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 52.7%
Neutral zone
Schroeder 50.9%
Result
Jordan Schroeder favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Schroeder
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Schroeder
Eller
Last 7: Schroeder 3-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Schroeder
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Schroeder
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schroeder
2
0
Schroeder
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schroeder
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (218)
53.3% (803)
-6.5%
Power Play
39.1% (23)
55.8% (86)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
50.0% (90)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Schroeder is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Schroeder shoots right. Eller is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Schroeder
Eller
Home
38.2% (68)
52.8% (525)
Away
48.9% (176)
53.7% (454)
By Period
Schroeder
Eller
P1
37.0%
53.9%
P2
45.1%
54.8%
P3
53.4%
50.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schroeder
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.9%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Jordan Schroeder |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Jordan Schroeder |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Jordan Schroeder |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Lars Eller |