Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Draisaitl 48.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 60.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 67.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Eller
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Eller
Draisaitl
Last 5: Eller 4-1 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
Draisaitl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (306)
48.9% (894)
+4.0%
Power Play
40.5% (37)
44.8% (134)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (66)
50.0% (10)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Eller is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Eller shoots left. Draisaitl is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Eller
Draisaitl
Home
49.7% (181)
52.5% (516)
Away
51.3% (228)
44.3% (522)
By Period
Eller
Draisaitl
P1
54.2%
48.2%
P2
46.5%
48.2%
P3
49.6%
48.8%
OT
100.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2016 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 12:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Lars Eller |