Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 81.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 68.7%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 51.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Eller
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Eller
Draisaitl
Last 9: Eller 5-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
3
Eller
Draisaitl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
53.7% (923)
-0.9%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
56.1% (244)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
58.6% (29)
-13.1%
On power play, Eller has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Eller shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Eller
Draisaitl
Home
52.6% (340)
55.2% (636)
Away
51.8% (411)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Eller
Draisaitl
P1
52.4%
50.8%
P2
54.1%
56.6%
P3
50.0%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
67.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:42 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |