Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Shaw 45.5% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 59.1%
Defensive zone
Shaw 59.6%
Neutral zone
Shaw 56.5%
Result
Logan Shaw favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Eller
Shaw
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Eller
Shaw
Last 8: Eller 3-5 Shaw
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Shaw
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Shaw
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
4
Eller
Shaw
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Shaw
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
46.4% (418)
+4.7%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
66.7% (6)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
35.4% (96)
+11.3%
On power play, Shaw has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shaw shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Eller shoots left. Shaw is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Eller
Shaw
Home
51.4% (6,118)
46.2% (236)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
43.3% (284)
By Period
Eller
Shaw
P1
51.2%
41.3%
P2
50.1%
46.4%
P3
50.2%
46.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 06:32 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 12:44 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |