Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 50.4%). Look for Shaw on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Shaw shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Shaw 50.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 57.8%
Defensive zone
Shaw 51.6%
Neutral zone
Shaw 50.5%
Result
Logan Shaw favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Eller
Shaw
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Eller
Shaw
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
2
Eller
Shaw
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Shaw
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
57.5% (80)
-6.4%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
100.0% (1)
-55.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
32.4% (34)
+11.2%
On power play, Shaw has a +55.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shaw shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Eller shoots left. Shaw is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Eller
Shaw
Home
51.2% (510)
56.9% (58)
Away
47.8% (521)
43.9% (57)
By Period
Eller
Shaw
P1
50.7%
43.6%
P2
49.0%
50.0%
P3
48.3%
57.9%
Final 5 min
45.8%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
49.5%
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 06:32 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Lars Eller |