Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.7% vs Domi 50.9% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 72.8%
Defensive zone
Domi 59.1%
Neutral zone
Domi 60.6%
Result
Max Domi favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Eller
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Eller
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Eller
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Eller
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
50.4% (254)
+6.1%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
59.3% (27)
+18.5%
On power play, Eller has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Domi is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Eller
Domi
Home
53.1% (211)
50.0% (174)
Away
59.7% (278)
53.3% (107)
By Period
Eller
Domi
P1
55.4%
45.7%
P2
58.1%
51.5%
P3
57.1%
57.3%
Final 5 min
60.5%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 18:56 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Max Domi |