Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Domi 48.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 18-16 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 66.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 71.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 57.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Eller
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
16
(34 meetings)
18
16
Eller
Domi
Last 10: Eller 5-5 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
8
6
Eller
Domi
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
5
7
Eller
Domi
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
5
3
Eller
Domi
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
48.1% (4,296)
+3.0%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
53.4% (633)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
48.8% (41)
-2.1%
On even strength, Eller has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Home / Away
Eller
Domi
Home
51.4% (6,118)
49.7% (2,604)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
47.8% (2,366)
By Period
Eller
Domi
P1
51.2%
48.7%
P2
50.1%
48.3%
P3
50.2%
49.8%
OT
56.7%
43.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 18:56 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:58 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 8, 2024 | 2 | 06:38 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 01:16 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 10:26 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 3 | 15:38 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 17:36 | Defensive | Max Domi |