Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.0% vs McLeod 51.7% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 58.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 71.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Eller
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Eller
McLeod
Last 8: Eller 4-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Eller
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
2
Eller
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (821)
53.6% (125)
-3.7%
Power Play
52.7% (74)
42.9% (7)
+9.8%
On power play, Eller has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Eller shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
Eller
McLeod
Home
49.4% (559)
63.8% (58)
Away
48.5% (550)
44.6% (74)
By Period
Eller
McLeod
P1
50.1%
47.6%
P2
46.7%
59.4%
P3
49.9%
53.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 13:28 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 8, 2019 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 1 | 02:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |