Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs McLeod 59.6% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 74.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 72.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 76.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Eller
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Eller
McLeod
Last 5: Eller 1-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Eller
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Eller
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
61.5% (792)
-7.7%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
65.2% (23)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
55.6% (153)
-3.0%
On power play, McLeod has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Eller shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Eller
McLeod
Home
56.4% (486)
62.0% (460)
Away
51.2% (537)
59.4% (508)
By Period
Eller
McLeod
P1
55.1%
61.5%
P2
55.3%
63.6%
P3
51.7%
56.2%
OT
27.3%
73.3%
Final 5 min
51.0%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 06:09 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |