Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.4% vs Ribeiro 45.6% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 67.4%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 64.3%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 66.5%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Eller
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Eller
Ribeiro
Last 5: Eller 1-4 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
1
Eller
Ribeiro
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
3
Eller
Ribeiro
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (457)
45.0% (473)
+4.5%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
47.8% (23)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
22.2% (9)
+21.9%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Eller is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Eller shoots left. Ribeiro is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Eller
Ribeiro
Home
51.0% (259)
48.9% (268)
Away
47.7% (283)
40.1% (237)
By Period
Eller
Ribeiro
P1
45.7%
42.5%
P2
44.3%
44.8%
P3
56.7%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
36.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 03:49 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 15:40 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 05:37 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 14:45 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |